HUH? There is no scientific consensus on sea levels?
Netherlands, German and British scientists say there is no certainty about what Arctic melt actually means
It's common logic that the melting of the Arctic icecaps is all the fault of developed nations that insist on air conditioning and gas-powered vehicles, right? That's what a lot of people in the media are saying. In all actuality. However, a group of scientists from the united Kingdom, the Netherlands and Germany say there is NO scientific consensus behind this theory. SAY WHAT?
New analysis have suggested that the worst possible case in 2100 would be 30 centimeters with the likely result less.
Writing in the Nature Geoscience this week, the assembled experts said: "The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have been reported to be losing mass at accelerating rates ...
"However, at present there is no scientific consensus on whether these reported accelerations result from variability inherent to the ice-sheet-climate system, or reflect long-term changes ...
The dispersal of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are very important factors in forecasting the rate at which the seas might rise in the coming century.
The most recent report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said that "no long-term acceleration of sea level has been identified using 20th-century data alone."
The organization nonetheless forecast rises in the 21st century of 26-59 centimeters, as many scientists think that the rate of rise will increase seriously due to global warming.
Many other scientists assess that the ice sheets are so massive that they will take centuries to respond to likely levels of warming.
New analysis have suggested that the worst possible case in 2100 would be 30 centimeters with the likely result less. Essentially, no major change from the 20th century situation. This was even before new studies came out reflecting the fact that global warming has been basically on hold for the last decade and more, meaning that warming forecasts should be revised downwards.
The next IPCC report being produced will attempt to reflect what the various committees and advisers believe to be the scientific consensus on various matters including sea levels. There simply isn't any scientific consensus on the Antarctic and Greenland melt rates - and therefore there isn't one on sea levels either.
Various organizations such as the Google-funded alarmist activism organization Climate Central, say that there is a consensus and that it centers on a much higher figure - one or even two meters of rise by 2100.
British Professor Jonathan Bamber of Bristol University carried out a previous effort to work out what scientists think sea levels will do, in which meter-range rises were described as "conceivable" but highly unlikely.
"Expert opinion is shown to be both very uncertain and undecided," that study said.
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